representing Angie craigThe future of Congress could be decided by a panel of five justices appointed by the Minnesota Supreme Court.
Craig, you might remember, had two narrow wins, by around 18,000 votes against incumbent Jason Lewis (R) in 2018 and less than 10,000 votes against Tyler Kistner (R) last year. So a little change in the district lines could mean a lot.
What to watch: The legislature meets on January 31. The two chambers must agree on a plan and forward it to Governor Tim Walz (D) in time for him to sign it before the deadline set by the court of February 15. Miss the deadline and the judges take over the line art.
Here’s where the discussion started: a map drawn by the Democrats (who control the State House) and another map drawn by the Republicans (who run the State Senate). According to the map drawn by the GOP, Craig’s District would remain competitive, while Democrats are proposing to move some rural areas to other seats. This is a unique situation, as only Minnesota has a state legislature with shared control.
Craig looks like someone who would be surprised if there was a two-party compromise. âThe redistribution will most likely be decided by the courts here in Minnesota,â she said. – Stephen joyce
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OHIO: GERRYMANDERING TEST
An Ohio law designed to prevent partisan gerrymandering gets its first legal test tomorrow in a three-trial oral argument that could determine the fate of congressional cards and state houses.
Voting rights groups and Democratic voters urge Republican-controlled Ohio Supreme Court to oppose GOP and order redrawing of state House and Senate lines that give conservatives a qualified majority in both houses of the state legislature.
The cases are a testing ground for Ohio constitutional amendments that are supposed to prevent the state legislature-led Redistribution Commission from “unduly favoring” one party over the other. The bias by the judges will affect the outcome of a separate pair of lawsuits challenging a congressional card that gives the GOP a 13-2 advantage midway through 2022. – Alex Ebert
WASHINGTON: LATE & OK
The Washington Supreme Court has given the green light to a map drawn by the state’s Redistribution Commission even though it arrived late.
The court said the commission had “substantially complied” with state law when it voted to approve a 10-district map seconds before midnight on Nov. 15, while passing the document to the legislative leaders of the state 13 minutes after November 16.
“The tribunal concludes that the main objective of achieving a rapid redistribution plan would be hampered, not advanced, by dismissing the completed work of the Commission,” he said. The legislature is only allowed to make minor changes to the map, which has kept districts competitive for Democrats Kim schrier and republican Jaime Herrera Beutler. – Greg Giroux
TEXAS: PRIMARY IMPACT
One of the question marks in the Justice Department’s lawsuit challenging Texas redistribution plans is what it will mean for candidates preparing for the primaries. Should they be planning an election on March 1?
The lawsuit calls for lawmakers to be tasked with redoing the lines to comply with federal voting rights law.
The complaint claims that the redistribution plan “surgically excised” minority areas in the central Dallas-Fort Worth metropolitan area to avoid increasing their political clout. – Kenneth P. Doyle
CALIFORNIA, MICHIGAN: PRIVATE MEETINGS
A conservative law firm is suing the California Independent Constituency Commission, demanding the release of all communications from private meetings and analyzes of the racial makeup and voting patterns of constituencies.
Harmeet Dhillon, former adviser to Donald Trump’s 2020 re-election campaign, represents the plaintiffs, who are also asking the state Supreme Court to order the commission to end his contract with Strumwasser & Woocher LLP. The Los Angeles-based law firm advises both the commission and the state legislature, which the lawsuit said constitutes a conflict of interest.
In Michigan, the Independent Citizens Redistricting Commission voted to block the release of memos and a recording of a meeting in which lawyers gave confidential advice on how to draw political boundaries without being prosecuted for violation of the federal anti-discrimination law.
Members of the public, including an executive from the Detroit Free Press, warned at the commission’s meeting to expect legal challenges. – Tiffany Stecker and Alex Ebert
CALIFORNIA: COLLATERAL DAMAGES
A consultant for Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom’s failed recall suggests other Republicans change part of their conversation to avoid reducing GOP participation.
“I think Republican candidates in the future would be well advised not to talk about electoral fraud and to talk about the integrity of the elections,” said Dave Gilliard, partner of Gilliard Blanning & Associates Campaigns. “I think it’s a long-term problem for the party, the Republican Party, if it continues to question the integrity of the elections.”
A poll of 600 California Republicans conducted Nov. 6-14 compared the views of dismissing voters to those of non-voters. Although the two groups agreed on most issues, such as border protection, lowering taxes and public safety, in similar proportions there was a nine percentage point difference in how they perceived to be electoral fraud: 21% of non-voters said it was a question for them, compared to 12% of voters. – Tiffany Stecker
Count: 19 States Completed
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To contact journalists on this story: Stephen joyce in Chicago at [email protected]; Kenneth P. Doyle in Washington at [email protected]; Tiffany stecker in Sacramento, CA at [email protected]; Alex ebert in Columbus, Ohio at [email protected]; Greg Giroux in Washington at [email protected]
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tina May To [email protected]